Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Sturm on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Sturm wins 67.8% vs right-shot opponents — Wright shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 59.0% vs Wright 50.3% (+9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wright 83.7%
Defensive zone
Sturm 64.0%
Neutral zone
Wright 61.4%
Result
Shane Wright favored at 57.5%
42.5%
57.5%
Sturm
Wright
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Sturm
Wright
Last 8: Sturm 3-5 Wright
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wright
0
2
Sturm
Wright
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
2
1
Sturm
Wright
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wright
1
2
Sturm
Wright
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
60.6% (708)
52.6% (76)
+8.0%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
20.0% (5)
+41.1%
On power play, Sturm has a +41.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. Sturm is 67.8% vs right-shot opponents (264).
Sturm shoots left. Wright is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (52).
Home / Away
Sturm
Wright
Home
61.6% (451)
58.5% (41)
Away
58.2% (376)
42.5% (40)
By Period
Sturm
Wright
P1
55.9%
50.0%
P2
58.9%
46.2%
P3
64.6%
55.6%
Final 5 min
59.5%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
60.1%
Wright
44.0%▲
42.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2024 | 2 | 15:37 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 3 | 19:52 | Neutral | Shane Wright |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 3 | 06:14 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 3 | 06:06 | Offensive | Shane Wright |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 2 | 05:37 | Defensive | Shane Wright |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 1 | 14:19 | Neutral | Shane Wright |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 1 | 05:16 | Offensive | Shane Wright |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 1 | 02:03 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |