Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.0% vs 53.1%). Look for Blueger on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Sturm wins 55.4% vs left-shot opponents — Blueger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 52.5% vs Blueger 52.7% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Blueger leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Sturm 55.0%
Defensive zone
Sturm 52.4%
Neutral zone
Sturm 53.2%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
Sturm
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Sturm
Blueger
Last 10: Sturm 4-6 Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
2
1
Sturm
Blueger
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Blueger
1
4
Sturm
Blueger
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Sturm
Blueger
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (480)
53.9% (529)
+0.1%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
50.0% (6)
-21.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (102)
50.4% (137)
-0.4%
On power play, Blueger has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Sturm is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Sturm shoots left. Blueger is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (394).
Home / Away
Sturm
Blueger
Home
54.0% (287)
54.3% (335)
Away
52.0% (302)
51.9% (337)
By Period
Sturm
Blueger
P1
53.5%
50.3%
P2
51.0%
55.2%
P3
55.1%
53.5%
OT
20.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
53.0%
Blueger
58.0%▲
48.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2022 | 3 | 01:01 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 2 | 17:43 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 2 | 10:16 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 1 | 01:09 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Apr 2, 2022 | 3 | 07:12 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Apr 2, 2022 | 2 | 12:51 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Apr 2, 2022 | 2 | 05:50 | Offensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Apr 2, 2022 | 2 | 01:27 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Apr 2, 2022 | 2 | 01:21 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Apr 2, 2022 | 1 | 17:30 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Apr 2, 2022 | 1 | 03:51 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 1 | 10:57 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |