Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Sturm wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Blueger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 57.1% vs Blueger 50.2% (+8.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sturm 62.7%
Defensive zone
Blueger 50.6%
Neutral zone
Sturm 63.0%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 62.8%
62.8%
37.2%
Sturm
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Sturm
Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
2
0
Sturm
Blueger
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Blueger
0
1
Sturm
Blueger
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
62.1% (356)
53.3% (745)
+8.8%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
45.5% (11)
+29.5%
Penalty Kill
38.7% (62)
41.7% (259)
-3.0%
On power play, Sturm has a +29.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Sturm is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (279).
Sturm shoots left. Blueger is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (739).
Home / Away
Sturm
Blueger
Home
61.8% (191)
53.4% (504)
Away
56.3% (231)
47.2% (511)
By Period
Sturm
Blueger
P1
58.0%
46.6%
P2
57.9%
53.0%
P3
60.6%
50.8%
Final 5 min
58.3%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
58.8%
Blueger
58.0%▲
48.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 04:21 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 2 | 16:15 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 2 | 08:43 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |