Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Sturm on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Sturm wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — Blueger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 59.0% vs Blueger 52.8% (+7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sturm 81.3%
Defensive zone
Sturm 74.6%
Neutral zone
Sturm 62.6%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 70.6%
70.6%
29.4%
Sturm
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Sturm
Blueger
Last 7: Sturm 5-2 Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
3
0
Sturm
Blueger
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Sturm
Blueger
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
60.6% (708)
54.2% (590)
+6.4%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
71.4% (14)
-10.3%
Penalty Kill
56.4% (101)
48.0% (177)
+8.4%
On power play, Blueger has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Sturm is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (563).
Sturm shoots left. Blueger is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (548).
Home / Away
Sturm
Blueger
Home
61.6% (451)
53.2% (378)
Away
58.2% (376)
53.1% (403)
By Period
Sturm
Blueger
P1
55.9%
54.3%
P2
58.9%
56.7%
P3
64.6%
48.9%
OT
70.6%
25.0%
Final 5 min
59.5%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
60.1%
Blueger
58.0%▲
48.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2023 | 3 | 11:41 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 2 | 16:23 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 2 | 06:39 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 1 | 15:37 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 1 | 06:17 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |