Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Sturm wins 56.1% vs left-shot opponents — Blueger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 55.2% vs Blueger 51.7% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sturm 74.4%
Defensive zone
Blueger 53.1%
Neutral zone
Sturm 50.1%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 58.2%
58.2%
41.8%
Sturm
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Sturm
Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
1
0
Sturm
Blueger
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Sturm
Blueger
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (716)
54.1% (425)
+2.0%
Power Play
67.7% (31)
100.0% (6)
-32.3%
Penalty Kill
51.1% (133)
43.8% (144)
+7.3%
On power play, Blueger has a +32.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Sturm is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (592).
Sturm shoots left. Blueger is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (413).
Home / Away
Sturm
Blueger
Home
55.6% (412)
52.5% (282)
Away
56.0% (468)
51.5% (293)
By Period
Sturm
Blueger
P1
59.6%
49.2%
P2
52.0%
57.2%
P3
55.5%
50.8%
OT
60.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
56.8%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
55.8%
Blueger
58.0%▲
48.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2023 | 2 | 15:52 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 14:54 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 1 | 01:25 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |