Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Sturm wins 55.4% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 52.5% vs Novak 46.5% (+9.0%)
Offensive zone
Novak 74.3%
Defensive zone
Sturm 81.0%
Neutral zone
Sturm 52.1%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Sturm
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (480)
43.2% (118)
+10.8%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
47.8% (23)
-19.2%
On power play, Novak has a +19.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Sturm is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Sturm shoots left. Novak is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (88).
Home / Away
Sturm
Novak
Home
54.0% (287)
50.7% (71)
Away
52.0% (302)
37.1% (70)
By Period
Sturm
Novak
P1
53.5%
44.7%
P2
51.0%
50.0%
P3
55.1%
38.9%
Final 5 min
52.8%
35.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
53.0%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
44.0%