Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +12.8% FO% edge overall. Sturm wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 53.6% vs Novak 43.4% (+12.8%)
Offensive zone
Novak 81.4%
Defensive zone
Sturm 83.9%
Neutral zone
Sturm 51.3%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Sturm
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (271)
41.4% (379)
+13.2%
On even strength, Sturm has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Sturm is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Sturm shoots left. Novak is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (271).
Home / Away
Sturm
Novak
Home
53.0% (168)
42.6% (195)
Away
56.0% (193)
41.2% (216)
By Period
Sturm
Novak
P1
58.2%
42.4%
P2
53.2%
39.2%
P3
52.3%
44.7%
OT
100.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
55.7%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
54.6%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
41.8%