Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +16.1% FO% edge overall. Sturm wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 57.1% vs Novak 45.0% (+16.1%)
Offensive zone
Novak 74.6%
Defensive zone
Sturm 75.2%
Neutral zone
Sturm 58.9%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Sturm
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
62.1% (356)
42.9% (198)
+19.2%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
40.9% (22)
+34.1%
On power play, Sturm has a +34.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Sturm is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (279).
Sturm shoots left. Novak is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (126).
Home / Away
Sturm
Novak
Home
61.8% (191)
40.9% (110)
Away
56.3% (231)
44.5% (110)
By Period
Sturm
Novak
P1
58.0%
39.1%
P2
57.9%
43.9%
P3
60.6%
44.9%
Final 5 min
58.3%
25.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
58.8%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
42.7%