Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Boyd on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 52.5% vs Boyd 45.8% (+7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boyd 83.9%
Defensive zone
Boyd 52.8%
Neutral zone
Boyd 64.0%
Result
Travis Boyd favored at 75.4%
24.6%
75.4%
Sturm
Boyd
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Sturm
Boyd
Last 6: Sturm 2-4 Boyd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boyd
0
4
Sturm
Boyd
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
1
0
Sturm
Boyd
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sturm
1
0
Sturm
Boyd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Boyd
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (480)
45.9% (784)
+8.1%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
43.2% (81)
-14.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (102)
40.3% (62)
+9.7%
On power play, Boyd has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boyd shoots right. Sturm is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (199).
Sturm shoots left. Boyd is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (644).
Home / Away
Sturm
Boyd
Home
54.0% (287)
45.1% (501)
Away
52.0% (302)
45.5% (426)
By Period
Sturm
Boyd
P1
53.5%
45.9%
P2
51.0%
44.6%
P3
55.1%
45.8%
OT
20.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
52.8%
44.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
53.0%
Boyd
50.0%▲
48.0%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2021 | 3 | 01:29 | Offensive | Travis Boyd |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 2 | 15:44 | Offensive | Travis Boyd |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 2 | 11:05 | Offensive | Travis Boyd |
| Nov 10, 2021 | 3 | 14:00 | Offensive | Travis Boyd |
| Nov 10, 2021 | 2 | 07:02 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Nov 10, 2021 | 1 | 14:32 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |