Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Sturm wins 67.8% vs right-shot opponents — Boyd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 59.0% vs Boyd 51.0% (+6.6%)
Offensive zone
Boyd 57.8%
Defensive zone
Sturm 72.0%
Neutral zone
Boyd 52.3%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
Sturm
Boyd
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Boyd
Edge
Even Strength
60.6% (708)
52.4% (42)
+8.2%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
100.0% (1)
-38.9%
On power play, Boyd has a +38.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boyd shoots right. Sturm is 67.8% vs right-shot opponents (264).
Sturm shoots left. Boyd is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (28).
Home / Away
Sturm
Boyd
Home
61.6% (451)
60.0% (25)
Away
58.2% (376)
44.4% (18)
By Period
Sturm
Boyd
P1
55.9%
42.9%
P2
58.9%
75.0%
P3
64.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
59.5%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
60.1%
Boyd
50.0%▲
48.0%
53.5%