Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Sturm on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Sturm wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Boyd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 55.2% vs Boyd 43.9% (+12.4%)
H2H factor
Boyd leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Boyd 67.6%
Defensive zone
Sturm 62.2%
Neutral zone
Boyd 57.3%
Result
Travis Boyd favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Sturm
Boyd
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Sturm
Boyd
Last 10: Sturm 6-4 Boyd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boyd
0
1
Sturm
Boyd
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
3
1
Sturm
Boyd
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Boyd
3
4
Sturm
Boyd
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Boyd
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (716)
43.4% (893)
+12.7%
Power Play
67.7% (31)
51.5% (136)
+16.2%
Penalty Kill
51.1% (133)
34.6% (127)
+16.5%
On penalty kill, Sturm has a +16.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boyd shoots right. Sturm is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (288).
Sturm shoots left. Boyd is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (805).
Home / Away
Sturm
Boyd
Home
55.6% (412)
46.0% (570)
Away
56.0% (468)
41.0% (586)
By Period
Sturm
Boyd
P1
59.6%
38.9%
P2
52.0%
50.4%
P3
55.5%
41.1%
OT
60.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
56.8%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
55.8%
Boyd
50.0%▲
48.0%
43.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2023 | 3 | 04:38 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 1 | 01:30 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 3 | 14:10 | Neutral | Travis Boyd |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 2 | 11:51 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 2 | 11:46 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 2 | 05:59 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 1 | 10:45 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 1 | 07:29 | Offensive | Travis Boyd |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 2 | 08:09 | Neutral | Travis Boyd |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 1 | 18:05 | Neutral | Travis Boyd |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 1 | 12:31 | Defensive | Travis Boyd |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 1 | 03:50 | Neutral | Travis Boyd |