Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +12.5% FO% edge overall. Sturm wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 55.2% vs Johnston 44.8% (+12.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sturm 50.9%
Defensive zone
Sturm 74.1%
Neutral zone
Sturm 66.6%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 66.6%
66.6%
33.4%
Sturm
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Sturm
Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sturm
1
0
Sturm
Johnston
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (716)
42.5% (318)
+13.6%
Power Play
67.7% (31)
55.6% (9)
+12.1%
Penalty Kill
51.1% (133)
62.5% (8)
-11.4%
On even strength, Sturm has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Sturm is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (288).
Sturm shoots left. Johnston is 40.6% vs left-shot opponents (229).
Home / Away
Sturm
Johnston
Home
55.6% (412)
40.5% (168)
Away
56.0% (468)
46.1% (167)
By Period
Sturm
Johnston
P1
59.6%
46.9%
P2
52.0%
40.4%
P3
55.5%
41.9%
OT
60.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
56.8%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
55.8%
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
43.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2022 | 1 | 07:10 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |