Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Sturm wins 64.3% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 57.1% vs Johnston 51.0% (+7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sturm 50.7%
Defensive zone
Sturm 63.9%
Neutral zone
Sturm 64.1%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 64.1%
64.1%
35.9%
Sturm
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Sturm
Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sturm
1
0
Sturm
Johnston
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
62.1% (356)
52.6% (696)
+9.5%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
52.3% (88)
+22.7%
Penalty Kill
38.7% (62)
42.4% (125)
-3.7%
On power play, Sturm has a +22.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Sturm is 64.3% vs right-shot opponents (143).
Sturm shoots left. Johnston is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (705).
Home / Away
Sturm
Johnston
Home
61.8% (191)
52.8% (458)
Away
56.3% (231)
49.4% (451)
By Period
Sturm
Johnston
P1
58.0%
48.9%
P2
57.9%
52.3%
P3
60.6%
51.4%
Final 5 min
58.3%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
58.8%
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |