Nico Sturm vs Wyatt Johnston

2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Nico Sturm holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Sturm on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Sturm wins 67.8% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Sturm 59.0% vs Johnston 50.1% (+9.9%)
H2H factor Sturm leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone Sturm 79.5%
Defensive zone Sturm 89.2%
Neutral zone Sturm 76.1%
Result Nico Sturm favored at 82.9%
82.9%
17.1%
Sturm Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
9 - 4 (13 meetings)
9
4
Sturm Johnston
Last 10: Sturm 7-3 Johnston

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
4
3
Sturm Johnston
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
4
1
Sturm Johnston
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sturm
1
0
Sturm Johnston
1 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Sturm
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
60.6% (708)
50.7% (552)
+9.9%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
61.5% (13)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
56.4% (101)
43.5% (69)
+12.9%
On penalty kill, Sturm has a +12.9% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Sturm is 67.8% vs right-shot opponents (264).
Sturm shoots left. Johnston is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (498).
Home / Away
Sturm
Johnston
Home
61.6% (451)
50.3% (342)
Away
58.2% (376)
50.0% (292)
By Period
Sturm
Johnston
P1
55.9%
54.4%
P2
58.9%
47.2%
P3
64.6%
49.4%
OT
70.6%
40.0%
Final 5 min
59.5%
47.8%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
52.0%
57.5%
60.1%
Johnston
52.0%
50.5%
50.2%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Mar 26, 2024 3 18:22 Defensive Nico Sturm
Mar 26, 2024 3 12:40 Offensive Wyatt Johnston
Mar 26, 2024 3 10:06 Offensive Wyatt Johnston
Mar 26, 2024 2 03:51 Defensive Nico Sturm
Mar 26, 2024 2 03:33 Offensive Nico Sturm
Mar 26, 2024 2 01:01 Defensive Wyatt Johnston
Mar 5, 2024 OT 00:34 Defensive Nico Sturm
Mar 5, 2024 3 07:04 Defensive Nico Sturm
Mar 5, 2024 2 13:28 Offensive Nico Sturm
Mar 5, 2024 1 16:11 Neutral Nico Sturm
Mar 2, 2024 3 14:08 Offensive Nico Sturm
Mar 2, 2024 2 19:35 Offensive Wyatt Johnston
Mar 2, 2024 2 11:46 Offensive Nico Sturm