Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Hayton wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 53.8% vs Roy 47.9% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayton 87.7%
Defensive zone
Hayton 61.5%
Neutral zone
Hayton 75.4%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 72.3%
72.3%
27.7%
Hayton
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Hayton
Roy
Last 5: Hayton 4-1 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
1
Hayton
Roy
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
2
0
Hayton
Roy
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayton
2
0
Hayton
Roy
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (817)
48.6% (679)
+4.0%
Power Play
63.3% (139)
48.0% (50)
+15.3%
Penalty Kill
53.1% (64)
34.7% (49)
+18.4%
On penalty kill, Hayton has a +18.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Hayton is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (336).
Hayton shoots left. Roy is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (592).
Home / Away
Hayton
Roy
Home
53.9% (516)
49.3% (345)
Away
54.4% (504)
46.4% (433)
By Period
Hayton
Roy
P1
55.1%
47.6%
P2
55.0%
47.1%
P3
51.7%
47.9%
OT
69.2%
75.0%
Final 5 min
50.8%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
54.1%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 07:31 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 00:21 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 1 | 00:09 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 1 | 04:06 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |