Kevin Stenlund vs Nicolas Roy

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Kevin Stenlund holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Stenlund 54.2% vs Roy 51.9% (+2.4%)
H2H factor Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Stenlund 64.2%
Defensive zone Stenlund 82.9%
Neutral zone Stenlund 67.9%
Result Kevin Stenlund favored at 71.2%
71.2%
28.8%
Stenlund Roy
Head-to-Head Record
6 - 2 (8 meetings)
6
2
Stenlund Roy
Last 8: Stenlund 6-2 Roy

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
1
0
Stenlund Roy
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
2
0
Stenlund Roy
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stenlund
3
2
Stenlund Roy
5 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Stenlund
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (605)
51.9% (545)
+4.3%
Power Play
53.2% (47)
54.1% (37)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
51.8% (305)
53.3% (92)
-1.5%
On even strength, Stenlund has a +4.3% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Roy shoots right. Stenlund is 48.0% vs right-shot opponents (319).
Stenlund shoots right. Roy is 60.4% vs right-shot opponents (212).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Roy
Home
57.0% (446)
54.0% (328)
Away
52.6% (511)
50.6% (346)
By Period
Stenlund
Roy
P1
55.4%
53.3%
P2
53.2%
51.8%
P3
56.2%
51.6%
Final 5 min
57.2%
48.1%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
56.0%
58.0%
54.6%
Roy
46.0%
48.5%
52.2%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Jan 13, 2026 3 15:46 Offensive Kevin Stenlund
Jan 13, 2026 3 13:29 Neutral Kevin Stenlund
Jan 13, 2026 2 18:43 Defensive Kevin Stenlund
Jan 13, 2026 2 08:14 Neutral Nicolas Roy
Jan 13, 2026 2 05:26 Neutral Kevin Stenlund
Jan 13, 2026 2 02:58 Defensive Kevin Stenlund
Nov 5, 2025 3 05:25 Neutral Nicolas Roy
Nov 5, 2025 2 08:56 Neutral Kevin Stenlund