Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Roy wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Sundqvist shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 48.3% vs Sundqvist 47.2% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sundqvist 65.0%
Defensive zone
Roy 81.2%
Neutral zone
Roy 55.6%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 81.2%
81.2%
18.8%
Roy
Sundqvist
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Roy
Sundqvist
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
1
0
Roy
Sundqvist
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Sundqvist
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (633)
48.8% (43)
-0.5%
Power Play
52.1% (48)
35.3% (17)
+16.8%
Penalty Kill
43.7% (87)
0.0% (3)
+43.7%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +43.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sundqvist shoots right. Roy is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (218).
Roy shoots right. Sundqvist is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (9).
Home / Away
Roy
Sundqvist
Home
50.8% (376)
50.0% (34)
Away
45.4% (392)
34.5% (29)
By Period
Roy
Sundqvist
P1
53.8%
50.0%
P2
43.5%
38.9%
P3
46.4%
41.4%
Final 5 min
47.2%
35.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.0%
Sundqvist
44.0%▼
49.5%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 10:50 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |