Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Roy wins 54.2% vs right-shot opponents — Sundqvist shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 48.4% vs Sundqvist 44.3% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Sundqvist leads 8-8 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Sundqvist 50.8%
Defensive zone
Roy 50.0%
Neutral zone
Sundqvist 50.8%
Result
Oskar Sundqvist favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Roy
Sundqvist
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
8
(16 meetings)
8
8
Roy
Sundqvist
Last 10: Roy 7-3 Sundqvist
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Roy
Sundqvist
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
2
1
Roy
Sundqvist
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sundqvist
4
5
Roy
Sundqvist
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Sundqvist
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (3,719)
44.2% (2,842)
+4.5%
Power Play
49.5% (283)
51.0% (98)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (477)
41.6% (385)
+3.9%
On even strength, Roy has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sundqvist shoots right. Roy is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,191).
Roy shoots right. Sundqvist is 44.1% vs right-shot opponents (946).
Home / Away
Roy
Sundqvist
Home
49.5% (2,221)
44.2% (1,584)
Away
47.3% (2,258)
44.0% (1,741)
By Period
Roy
Sundqvist
P1
50.8%
42.8%
P2
46.3%
45.6%
P3
48.1%
43.7%
OT
50.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
47.2%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.4%
Sundqvist
44.0%▼
49.5%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 16:40 | Neutral | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 05:19 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 3 | 02:03 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 1 | 11:51 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 6, 2023 | 2 | 12:02 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 6, 2023 | 2 | 11:51 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 6, 2023 | 2 | 09:42 | Neutral | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Dec 6, 2023 | 1 | 09:20 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 1 | 16:23 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 10:50 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 22, 2021 | 2 | 15:01 | Offensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 2 | 10:44 | Neutral | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 2 | 10:31 | Offensive | Oskar Sundqvist |