Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.2% vs Sundqvist 43.1% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 51.0%
Defensive zone
Roy 53.3%
Neutral zone
Sundqvist 54.2%
Result
Oskar Sundqvist favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
Roy
Sundqvist
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Roy
Sundqvist
Last 8: Roy 4-4 Sundqvist
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
1
0
Roy
Sundqvist
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sundqvist
0
1
Roy
Sundqvist
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Roy
Sundqvist
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Sundqvist
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (617)
41.3% (492)
+6.2%
Power Play
39.6% (53)
56.3% (16)
-16.7%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (97)
43.2% (81)
+3.2%
On power play, Sundqvist has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sundqvist shoots right. Roy is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (174).
Roy shoots right. Sundqvist is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (170).
Home / Away
Roy
Sundqvist
Home
47.2% (398)
43.3% (275)
Away
46.3% (369)
40.8% (314)
By Period
Roy
Sundqvist
P1
48.6%
43.3%
P2
48.8%
41.8%
P3
43.9%
40.1%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
45.1%
42.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.8%
Sundqvist
44.0%▼
49.5%
41.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2023 | 2 | 12:02 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 6, 2023 | 2 | 11:51 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 6, 2023 | 2 | 09:42 | Neutral | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Dec 6, 2023 | 1 | 09:20 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 1 | 16:23 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Oskar Sundqvist |