Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Roy wins 55.9% vs right-shot opponents — Sundqvist shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.9% vs Sundqvist 46.1% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 68.8%
Defensive zone
Roy 58.6%
Neutral zone
Roy 60.0%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 61.8%
61.8%
38.2%
Roy
Sundqvist
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Roy
Sundqvist
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
1
0
Roy
Sundqvist
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
1
0
Roy
Sundqvist
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Roy
Sundqvist
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Sundqvist
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (679)
45.0% (500)
+3.6%
Power Play
48.0% (50)
54.5% (22)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
34.7% (49)
46.0% (50)
-11.3%
On penalty kill, Sundqvist has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sundqvist shoots right. Roy is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Roy shoots right. Sundqvist is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (147).
Home / Away
Roy
Sundqvist
Home
49.3% (345)
45.5% (255)
Away
46.4% (433)
45.4% (317)
By Period
Roy
Sundqvist
P1
47.6%
40.9%
P2
47.1%
46.9%
P3
47.9%
48.4%
OT
75.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
45.5%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
54.0%▲
52.0%
47.7%
Sundqvist
44.0%▼
49.5%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 16:40 | Neutral | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 05:19 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 3 | 02:03 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 1 | 11:51 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |