Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Roy wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — Krebs shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 48.3% vs Krebs 45.9% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Krebs 50.5%
Defensive zone
Roy 68.5%
Neutral zone
Roy 55.8%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Roy
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Roy
Krebs
Last 7: Roy 4-3 Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
2
1
Roy
Krebs
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Roy
Krebs
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (633)
45.5% (501)
+2.8%
Power Play
52.1% (48)
50.0% (20)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
43.7% (87)
37.1% (35)
+6.6%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Roy is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (550).
Roy shoots right. Krebs is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (205).
Home / Away
Roy
Krebs
Home
50.8% (376)
43.9% (285)
Away
45.4% (392)
46.5% (271)
By Period
Roy
Krebs
P1
53.8%
45.4%
P2
43.5%
50.9%
P3
46.4%
39.7%
OT
75.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
47.2%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.0%
Krebs
48.0%▲
45.0%
45.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2022 | 2 | 08:17 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 3 | 19:52 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 2 | 00:06 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 1 | 09:41 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |