Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 51.9% vs Krebs 45.5% (+7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 53.6%
Defensive zone
Roy 83.8%
Neutral zone
Roy 71.3%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 66.8%
66.8%
33.2%
Roy
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Roy
Krebs
Last 8: Roy 5-3 Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Roy
Krebs
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
4
2
Roy
Krebs
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (547)
44.6% (388)
+7.3%
Power Play
54.1% (37)
25.0% (4)
+29.1%
Penalty Kill
53.3% (92)
45.0% (20)
+8.3%
On power play, Roy has a +29.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Roy is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (464).
Roy shoots right. Krebs is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (132).
Home / Away
Roy
Krebs
Home
54.0% (328)
46.8% (188)
Away
50.6% (348)
42.4% (224)
By Period
Roy
Krebs
P1
53.5%
47.2%
P2
51.6%
44.9%
P3
51.6%
41.1%
Final 5 min
48.1%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
52.2%
Krebs
48.0%▲
45.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2026 | 3 | 02:08 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 1 | 13:16 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 19:24 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Oct 24, 2025 | 3 | 05:23 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Oct 24, 2025 | 2 | 02:31 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |