Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.8% vs 46.3%). Roy wins 45.0% vs left-shot opponents — Krebs shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.2% vs Krebs 46.8% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Krebs 62.0%
Defensive zone
Roy 67.4%
Neutral zone
Krebs 52.6%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 57.4%
57.4%
42.6%
Roy
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Roy
Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Krebs
0
2
Roy
Krebs
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Roy
Krebs
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (617)
47.2% (542)
+0.3%
Power Play
39.6% (53)
54.2% (24)
-14.6%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (97)
31.3% (48)
+15.1%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +15.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Roy is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (593).
Roy shoots right. Krebs is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (256).
Home / Away
Roy
Krebs
Home
47.2% (398)
45.5% (312)
Away
46.3% (369)
47.0% (302)
By Period
Roy
Krebs
P1
48.6%
46.6%
P2
48.8%
42.7%
P3
43.9%
48.6%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
45.1%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.8%
Krebs
48.0%▲
45.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 19:31 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 15, 2023 | 3 | 05:01 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Dec 15, 2023 | 1 | 19:08 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Dec 15, 2023 | 1 | 19:04 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |