Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on neutral-zone draws (58% H2H, 12 meetings). Roy wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Krebs shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 48.4% vs Krebs 45.9% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Roy leads 11-9 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Roy 55.2%
Defensive zone
Roy 62.8%
Neutral zone
Roy 57.7%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 57.9%
57.9%
42.1%
Roy
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
9
(20 meetings)
11
9
Roy
Krebs
Last 10: Roy 6-4 Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
3
2
Roy
Krebs
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Krebs
1
2
Roy
Krebs
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
7
5
Roy
Krebs
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (3,719)
46.0% (2,159)
+2.7%
Power Play
49.5% (283)
52.5% (99)
-3.0%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (477)
38.6% (171)
+6.9%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Roy is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (3,288).
Roy shoots right. Krebs is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (885).
Home / Away
Roy
Krebs
Home
49.5% (2,221)
45.7% (1,182)
Away
47.3% (2,258)
45.8% (1,247)
By Period
Roy
Krebs
P1
50.8%
45.9%
P2
46.3%
46.4%
P3
48.1%
44.8%
OT
50.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
47.2%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.4%
Krebs
48.0%▲
45.0%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2026 | 3 | 02:08 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 1 | 13:16 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 19:24 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Oct 24, 2025 | 3 | 05:23 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Oct 24, 2025 | 2 | 02:31 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 19:31 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 15, 2023 | 3 | 05:01 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Dec 15, 2023 | 1 | 19:08 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Dec 15, 2023 | 1 | 19:04 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Dec 19, 2022 | 2 | 08:17 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 3 | 19:52 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 2 | 00:06 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 1 | 09:41 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 1 | 09:13 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |