Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 46.0% vs Thomas 44.6% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thomas 55.4%
Defensive zone
Roy 57.0%
Neutral zone
Thomas 50.1%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Roy
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Roy
Thomas
Last 6: Roy 3-3 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
1
Roy
Thomas
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
2
0
Roy
Thomas
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
1
2
Roy
Thomas
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
41.5% (275)
42.5% (252)
-1.0%
Power Play
81.8% (11)
44.4% (9)
+37.4%
Penalty Kill
61.3% (31)
50.0% (2)
+11.3%
On power play, Roy has a +37.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Roy is 47.3% vs right-shot opponents (91).
Roy shoots right. Thomas is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (88).
Home / Away
Roy
Thomas
Home
46.1% (167)
44.8% (125)
Away
43.3% (150)
40.6% (138)
By Period
Roy
Thomas
P1
46.7%
43.2%
P2
38.5%
44.6%
P3
50.5%
40.2%
Final 5 min
42.6%
40.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
44.8%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2021 | 2 | 07:25 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| May 8, 2021 | 2 | 02:31 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| May 8, 2021 | 1 | 16:58 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 3 | 15:17 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 2 | 14:20 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 2 | 01:42 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |