Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 48.9% vs Thomas 49.9% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Roy leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Thomas 66.5%
Defensive zone
Roy 57.3%
Neutral zone
Thomas 53.0%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
Roy
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Roy
Thomas
Last 10: Roy 8-2 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
1
0
Roy
Thomas
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
5
2
Roy
Thomas
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
2
1
Roy
Thomas
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (746)
49.0% (910)
+0.5%
Power Play
50.7% (75)
53.5% (142)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (110)
53.3% (75)
-10.6%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Roy is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (242).
Roy shoots right. Thomas is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (363).
Home / Away
Roy
Thomas
Home
47.7% (491)
47.3% (514)
Away
50.0% (440)
52.0% (613)
By Period
Roy
Thomas
P1
51.1%
50.4%
P2
44.6%
47.5%
P3
50.9%
51.4%
OT
42.9%
61.5%
Final 5 min
51.7%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.8%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2021 | 3 | 04:52 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 22, 2021 | 2 | 19:59 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 22, 2021 | 2 | 14:44 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 22, 2021 | 2 | 09:48 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 22, 2021 | 2 | 05:32 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 22, 2021 | 2 | 02:30 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 22, 2021 | 1 | 06:22 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 22, 2021 | 1 | 03:42 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 22, 2021 | 1 | 00:50 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 22, 2021 | 1 | 00:44 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 22, 2021 | 1 | 00:36 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |