Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Roy wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 48.3% vs Thomas 52.7% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Thomas leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Thomas 63.8%
Defensive zone
Roy 80.1%
Neutral zone
Roy 57.3%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 57.8%
57.8%
42.2%
Roy
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Roy
Thomas
Last 10: Roy 4-6 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
1
2
Roy
Thomas
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
2
1
Roy
Thomas
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
1
3
Roy
Thomas
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (633)
53.6% (924)
-5.3%
Power Play
52.1% (48)
55.2% (181)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
43.7% (87)
44.0% (116)
-0.3%
On even strength, Thomas has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Roy is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (218).
Roy shoots right. Thomas is 59.4% vs right-shot opponents (352).
Home / Away
Roy
Thomas
Home
50.8% (376)
53.6% (606)
Away
45.4% (392)
52.2% (615)
By Period
Roy
Thomas
P1
53.8%
48.2%
P2
43.5%
55.3%
P3
46.4%
55.2%
OT
75.0%
47.1%
Final 5 min
47.2%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.0%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 18:24 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 2 | 13:44 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 2 | 10:23 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 2 | 07:42 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 3 | 12:56 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 3 | 01:35 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 00:06 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |