Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on neutral-zone draws (69% H2H, 13 meetings). Roy wins 54.2% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 48.4% vs Thomas 51.6% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Thomas leads 22-18 in 40 meetings
Offensive zone
Thomas 63.6%
Defensive zone
Roy 72.9%
Neutral zone
Roy 55.4%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 58.1%
58.1%
41.9%
Roy
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
22
(40 meetings)
18
22
Roy
Thomas
Last 10: Roy 2-8 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
4
6
Roy
Thomas
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
10
7
Roy
Thomas
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
4
9
Roy
Thomas
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (3,719)
51.1% (5,350)
-2.4%
Power Play
49.5% (283)
55.8% (921)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (477)
49.9% (691)
-4.4%
On power play, Thomas has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Roy is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,191).
Roy shoots right. Thomas is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (2,043).
Home / Away
Roy
Thomas
Home
49.5% (2,221)
50.9% (3,458)
Away
47.3% (2,258)
52.3% (3,504)
By Period
Roy
Thomas
P1
50.8%
50.6%
P2
46.3%
52.9%
P3
48.1%
50.8%
OT
50.0%
59.2%
Final 5 min
47.2%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.4%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 13:50 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 01:55 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 2 | 19:09 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 2 | 19:04 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 08:26 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 08:18 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 2 | 11:11 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 2 | 19:50 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 2 | 10:59 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 25, 2024 | 2 | 09:50 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 6, 2023 | 1 | 19:04 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 6, 2023 | 1 | 15:12 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 18:24 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 2 | 13:44 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 2 | 10:23 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 2 | 07:42 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 3 | 12:56 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 3 | 01:35 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |