Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.2% vs Thomas 52.9% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 61.9%
Defensive zone
Roy 82.3%
Neutral zone
Roy 68.7%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 71.0%
71.0%
29.0%
Roy
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Roy
Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
1
Roy
Thomas
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
1
Roy
Thomas
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
1
Roy
Thomas
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (617)
53.2% (1,166)
-5.7%
Power Play
39.6% (53)
56.9% (262)
-17.3%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (97)
48.4% (221)
-2.0%
On power play, Thomas has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Roy is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (174).
Roy shoots right. Thomas is 57.5% vs right-shot opponents (487).
Home / Away
Roy
Thomas
Home
47.2% (398)
51.6% (830)
Away
46.3% (369)
54.7% (819)
By Period
Roy
Thomas
P1
48.6%
52.7%
P2
48.8%
55.6%
P3
43.9%
50.6%
OT
0.0%
61.5%
Final 5 min
45.1%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.8%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2024 | 2 | 09:50 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 6, 2023 | 1 | 19:04 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 6, 2023 | 1 | 15:12 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |