Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.0% vs 48.2%). Roy wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 48.3% vs McLeod 48.4% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 66.0%
Defensive zone
Roy 68.6%
Neutral zone
Roy 50.4%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 54.5%
45.5%
54.5%
Roy
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Roy
McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
2
Roy
McLeod
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
1
0
Roy
McLeod
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (633)
49.0% (500)
-0.7%
Power Play
52.1% (48)
43.8% (48)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
43.7% (87)
44.0% (50)
-0.3%
On power play, Roy has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Roy is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (550).
Roy shoots right. McLeod is 44.3% vs right-shot opponents (228).
Home / Away
Roy
McLeod
Home
50.8% (376)
50.9% (291)
Away
45.4% (392)
45.6% (307)
By Period
Roy
McLeod
P1
53.8%
44.3%
P2
43.5%
52.4%
P3
46.4%
47.8%
OT
75.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.2%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.0%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2023 | 3 | 08:22 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 3 | 05:07 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 2 | 11:32 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |