Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Roy wins 45.0% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.2% vs McLeod 50.7% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 59.9%
Defensive zone
Roy 81.1%
Neutral zone
Roy 61.8%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
Roy
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Roy
McLeod
Last 8: Roy 3-5 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Roy
McLeod
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
Roy
McLeod
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
2
Roy
McLeod
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (617)
51.3% (628)
-3.8%
Power Play
39.6% (53)
68.3% (41)
-28.7%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (97)
30.6% (49)
+15.8%
On power play, McLeod has a +28.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Roy is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (593).
Roy shoots right. McLeod is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (211).
Home / Away
Roy
McLeod
Home
47.2% (398)
51.5% (394)
Away
46.3% (369)
50.0% (324)
By Period
Roy
McLeod
P1
48.6%
51.5%
P2
48.8%
47.0%
P3
43.9%
54.3%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.1%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.8%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2024 | 3 | 01:24 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 2 | 07:48 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 2 | 01:45 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 2 | 01:42 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 1 | 07:30 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 1 | 02:27 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 2 | 17:23 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 1 | 14:00 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |