Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Roy wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 48.4% vs McLeod 49.6% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Roy leads 15-11 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
McLeod 64.0%
Defensive zone
McLeod 51.2%
Neutral zone
McLeod 55.0%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 57.8%
42.2%
57.8%
Roy
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
11
(26 meetings)
15
11
Roy
McLeod
Last 10: Roy 6-4 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
5
6
Roy
McLeod
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
5
2
Roy
McLeod
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
5
3
Roy
McLeod
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (3,719)
50.4% (3,345)
-1.7%
Power Play
49.5% (283)
51.0% (292)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (477)
44.3% (635)
+1.2%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Roy is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (3,288).
Roy shoots right. McLeod is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,490).
Home / Away
Roy
McLeod
Home
49.5% (2,221)
50.2% (2,158)
Away
47.3% (2,258)
48.9% (2,114)
By Period
Roy
McLeod
P1
50.8%
50.8%
P2
46.3%
48.4%
P3
48.1%
50.0%
OT
50.0%
37.1%
Final 5 min
47.2%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.4%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2026 | 3 | 10:57 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 19:50 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 24, 2025 | 3 | 16:59 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 24, 2025 | 1 | 13:23 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 24, 2025 | 1 | 06:12 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 3 | 17:27 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 3 | 07:28 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 1 | 17:32 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 3 | 01:24 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 2 | 07:48 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 2 | 01:45 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 2 | 01:42 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 1 | 07:30 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 1 | 02:27 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 2 | 17:23 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 1 | 14:00 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 3 | 08:22 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 3 | 05:07 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 2 | 11:32 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 1 | 01:36 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |