Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Roy wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.9% vs McLeod 52.1% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 67.7%
Defensive zone
Roy 65.4%
Neutral zone
Roy 68.9%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 67.3%
67.3%
32.7%
Roy
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Roy
McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
Roy
McLeod
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
Roy
McLeod
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
Roy
McLeod
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (679)
52.9% (904)
-4.3%
Power Play
48.0% (50)
57.6% (59)
-9.6%
Penalty Kill
34.7% (49)
49.0% (241)
-14.3%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Roy is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (592).
Roy shoots right. McLeod is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (420).
Home / Away
Roy
McLeod
Home
49.3% (345)
51.8% (612)
Away
46.4% (433)
52.9% (592)
By Period
Roy
McLeod
P1
47.6%
55.4%
P2
47.1%
50.8%
P3
47.9%
51.6%
OT
75.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
45.5%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
47.7%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2025 | 3 | 17:27 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 3 | 07:28 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 1 | 17:32 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |