Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Roy wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 48.3% vs Bennett 47.3% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bennett 71.8%
Defensive zone
Roy 69.4%
Neutral zone
Bennett 52.6%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Roy
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Roy
Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
0
1
Roy
Bennett
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
1
0
Roy
Bennett
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bennett
0
2
Roy
Bennett
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (633)
48.2% (766)
+0.1%
Power Play
52.1% (48)
45.1% (82)
+7.0%
Penalty Kill
43.7% (87)
33.9% (56)
+9.8%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Roy is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (550).
Roy shoots right. Bennett is 47.9% vs right-shot opponents (328).
Home / Away
Roy
Bennett
Home
50.8% (376)
49.1% (458)
Away
45.4% (392)
44.8% (446)
By Period
Roy
Bennett
P1
53.8%
47.9%
P2
43.5%
47.2%
P3
46.4%
46.4%
OT
75.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
47.2%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.0%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 18:34 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 2 | 09:10 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 2 | 09:06 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 2 | 09:01 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |