Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Bennett on offensive-zone draws (92% H2H, 13 meetings). Roy wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 48.4% vs Bennett 47.2% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Bennett leads 23-12 in 35 meetings
Offensive zone
Bennett 75.7%
Defensive zone
Roy 70.6%
Neutral zone
Bennett 55.0%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 56.1%
43.9%
56.1%
Roy
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
23
(35 meetings)
12
23
Roy
Bennett
Last 10: Roy 1-9 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
1
12
Roy
Bennett
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
8
1
Roy
Bennett
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bennett
3
10
Roy
Bennett
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (3,719)
46.8% (5,683)
+1.9%
Power Play
49.5% (283)
53.7% (555)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (477)
41.8% (256)
+3.7%
On power play, Bennett has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Roy is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (3,288).
Roy shoots right. Bennett is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,262).
Home / Away
Roy
Bennett
Home
49.5% (2,221)
48.4% (3,262)
Away
47.3% (2,258)
45.9% (3,232)
By Period
Roy
Bennett
P1
50.8%
48.0%
P2
46.3%
46.5%
P3
48.1%
46.9%
OT
50.0%
52.5%
Final 5 min
47.2%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.4%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 00:47 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 16:36 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 16:30 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 13:07 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 01:32 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 08:48 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 03:27 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 03:18 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 10:57 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 06:22 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 19:36 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 18:42 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 26, 2025 | 3 | 06:28 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 26, 2025 | 1 | 10:14 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 19, 2024 | OT | 01:03 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 19:34 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 13:15 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 14:56 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 04:27 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |