Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Bennett on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Roy wins 45.0% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.2% vs Bennett 45.9% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bennett 77.7%
Defensive zone
Roy 73.1%
Neutral zone
Bennett 53.0%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 65.4%
34.6%
65.4%
Roy
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Roy
Bennett
Last 8: Roy 3-5 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
0
4
Roy
Bennett
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
3
1
Roy
Bennett
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (617)
44.7% (772)
+2.8%
Power Play
39.6% (53)
56.9% (58)
-17.3%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (97)
42.9% (28)
+3.5%
On power play, Bennett has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Roy is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (593).
Roy shoots right. Bennett is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (309).
Home / Away
Roy
Bennett
Home
47.2% (398)
48.5% (447)
Away
46.3% (369)
42.1% (411)
By Period
Roy
Bennett
P1
48.6%
47.1%
P2
48.8%
45.8%
P3
43.9%
42.9%
OT
0.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
45.1%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.8%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 04:27 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 2 | 14:40 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 2 | 11:22 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 1 | 15:19 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 1 | 03:14 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |