Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Roy wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.9% vs Bennett 46.6% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bennett 71.5%
Defensive zone
Roy 70.6%
Neutral zone
Bennett 58.0%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 63.6%
63.6%
36.4%
Roy
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
0
(6 meetings)
6
0
Roy
Bennett
Last 6: Roy 6-0 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
1
0
Roy
Bennett
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
5
0
Roy
Bennett
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (679)
46.5% (909)
+2.1%
Power Play
48.0% (50)
43.1% (51)
+4.9%
Penalty Kill
34.7% (49)
38.5% (13)
-3.8%
On power play, Roy has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Roy is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (592).
Roy shoots right. Bennett is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (316).
Home / Away
Roy
Bennett
Home
49.3% (345)
45.4% (449)
Away
46.4% (433)
46.9% (524)
By Period
Roy
Bennett
P1
47.6%
49.6%
P2
47.1%
43.7%
P3
47.9%
45.1%
OT
75.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
45.5%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
47.7%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2025 | 3 | 06:28 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 26, 2025 | 1 | 10:14 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 19, 2024 | OT | 01:03 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 19:34 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 13:15 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 14:56 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |