Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Roy wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 48.3% vs Nosek 58.0% (-11.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 57.2%
Defensive zone
Nosek 81.4%
Neutral zone
Nosek 71.3%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 75.3%
24.7%
75.3%
Roy
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Roy
Nosek
Last 5: Roy 3-2 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
2
Roy
Nosek
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
3
0
Roy
Nosek
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (633)
59.7% (469)
-11.4%
Power Play
52.1% (48)
100.0% (4)
-47.9%
Penalty Kill
43.7% (87)
56.5% (124)
-12.8%
On power play, Nosek has a +47.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Roy is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (550).
Roy shoots right. Nosek is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (275).
Home / Away
Roy
Nosek
Home
50.8% (376)
59.0% (295)
Away
45.4% (392)
59.6% (302)
By Period
Roy
Nosek
P1
53.8%
56.3%
P2
43.5%
61.9%
P3
46.4%
59.2%
OT
75.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
47.2%
61.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.0%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2022 | 3 | 19:07 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 3 | 06:46 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |