Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Roy wins 45.0% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.2% vs Nosek 51.4% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nosek 63.8%
Defensive zone
Roy 57.4%
Neutral zone
Nosek 61.1%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 63.8%
36.2%
63.8%
Roy
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Roy
Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
1
0
Roy
Nosek
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (617)
54.4% (215)
-6.9%
Power Play
39.6% (53)
0.0% (1)
+39.6%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (97)
23.5% (17)
+22.9%
On power play, Roy has a +39.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Roy is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (593).
Roy shoots right. Nosek is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (79).
Home / Away
Roy
Nosek
Home
47.2% (398)
50.4% (127)
Away
46.3% (369)
53.8% (106)
By Period
Roy
Nosek
P1
48.6%
51.4%
P2
48.8%
51.3%
P3
43.9%
53.2%
Final 5 min
45.1%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.8%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2024 | 2 | 12:29 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |