Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Roy wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.9% vs Nosek 51.4% (-4.1%)
Offensive zone
Nosek 53.3%
Defensive zone
Roy 52.9%
Neutral zone
Roy 60.2%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Roy
Nosek
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (679)
53.0% (400)
-4.4%
Power Play
48.0% (50)
33.3% (12)
+14.7%
Penalty Kill
34.7% (49)
45.5% (44)
-10.8%
On power play, Roy has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Roy is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (592).
Roy shoots right. Nosek is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (152).
Home / Away
Roy
Nosek
Home
49.3% (345)
49.6% (244)
Away
46.4% (433)
54.2% (212)
By Period
Roy
Nosek
P1
47.6%
53.1%
P2
47.1%
51.4%
P3
47.9%
51.1%
Final 5 min
45.5%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
47.7%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
51.8%