Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 53.0% vs Novak 44.9% (+10.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 58.0%
58.0%
42.0%
Roy
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Roy
Novak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Novak
0
1
Roy
Novak
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Novak
0
1
Roy
Novak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (449)
41.7% (206)
+12.2%
Power Play
53.3% (30)
52.6% (19)
+0.7%
On even strength, Roy has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Roy is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (384).
Roy shoots right. Novak is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (77).
Home / Away
Roy
Novak
Home
54.9% (293)
44.9% (118)
Away
51.9% (264)
40.2% (107)
By Period
Roy
Novak
P1
55.0%
41.5%
P2
51.7%
44.0%
P3
53.7%
42.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
54.0%▲
52.0%
53.5%
Novak
44.0%▬
43.0%
42.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 12:42 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 09:51 | Neutral | Tommy Novak |