Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 48.9% vs Novak 46.5% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Novak 68.9%
Defensive zone
Roy 62.8%
Neutral zone
Novak 53.1%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 62.8%
62.8%
37.2%
Roy
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Roy
Novak
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Novak
0
1
Roy
Novak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (746)
43.2% (118)
+6.3%
Power Play
50.7% (75)
47.8% (23)
+2.9%
On even strength, Roy has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Roy is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (689).
Roy shoots right. Novak is 39.6% vs right-shot opponents (53).
Home / Away
Roy
Novak
Home
47.7% (491)
50.7% (71)
Away
50.0% (440)
37.1% (70)
By Period
Roy
Novak
P1
51.1%
44.7%
P2
44.6%
50.0%
P3
50.9%
38.9%
Final 5 min
51.7%
35.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.8%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
44.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2021 | 2 | 03:33 | Defensive | Tommy Novak |