Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 48.9% vs Zegras 41.5% (+8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 70.5%
Defensive zone
Roy 95.6%
Neutral zone
Roy 90.8%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 91.2%
91.2%
8.8%
Roy
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
1
(9 meetings)
8
1
Roy
Zegras
Last 9: Roy 8-1 Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
1
0
Roy
Zegras
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
4
1
Roy
Zegras
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
3
0
Roy
Zegras
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (746)
39.4% (510)
+10.1%
Power Play
50.7% (75)
47.1% (34)
+3.6%
On even strength, Roy has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Roy is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (689).
Roy shoots right. Zegras is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (191).
Home / Away
Roy
Zegras
Home
47.7% (491)
42.3% (272)
Away
50.0% (440)
37.5% (272)
By Period
Roy
Zegras
P1
51.1%
37.6%
P2
44.6%
41.5%
P3
50.9%
40.8%
OT
42.9%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.7%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.8%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
39.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2022 | 3 | 08:12 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 3 | 11:30 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 3 | 01:06 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 2 | 13:10 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 2 | 08:23 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 2 | 02:29 | Defensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 1 | 11:57 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 29, 2021 | 1 | 16:15 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 29, 2021 | 1 | 07:16 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |