Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Roy wins 45.0% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.2% vs Zegras 43.3% (+8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 59.7%
Defensive zone
Roy 91.4%
Neutral zone
Roy 66.2%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 78.8%
78.8%
21.2%
Roy
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Roy
Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
1
0
Roy
Zegras
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
1
0
Roy
Zegras
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (617)
39.8% (128)
+7.7%
Power Play
39.6% (53)
22.2% (9)
+17.4%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (97)
0.0% (1)
+46.4%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +46.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Roy is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (593).
Roy shoots right. Zegras is 30.6% vs right-shot opponents (36).
Home / Away
Roy
Zegras
Home
47.2% (398)
29.7% (74)
Away
46.3% (369)
48.4% (64)
By Period
Roy
Zegras
P1
48.6%
40.7%
P2
48.8%
35.1%
P3
43.9%
41.0%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
45.1%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.8%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
38.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2023 | 1 | 19:58 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 1 | 07:18 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |