Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.8% vs 49.5%). Look for Roy on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 48.9% vs Gourde 49.5% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 55.5%
Defensive zone
Roy 52.3%
Neutral zone
Roy 50.2%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 53.8%
53.8%
46.2%
Roy
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Roy
Gourde
Last 5: Roy 2-3 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
2
1
Roy
Gourde
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Roy
Gourde
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Roy
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (746)
49.1% (731)
+0.4%
Power Play
50.7% (75)
54.3% (81)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (110)
48.2% (85)
-5.5%
On penalty kill, Gourde has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Roy is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (689).
Roy shoots right. Gourde is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Roy
Gourde
Home
47.7% (491)
50.9% (479)
Away
50.0% (440)
47.8% (418)
By Period
Roy
Gourde
P1
51.1%
51.2%
P2
44.6%
49.8%
P3
50.9%
47.5%
OT
42.9%
66.7%
Final 5 min
51.7%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.8%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2022 | 3 | 10:44 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 3 | 07:49 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 30, 2022 | 2 | 05:26 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 30, 2022 | 1 | 10:09 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 1 | 18:49 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |