Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Gourde on neutral-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Roy wins 45.0% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.2% vs Gourde 48.0% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Gourde leads 11-4 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Roy 52.0%
Defensive zone
Roy 73.4%
Neutral zone
Roy 58.0%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 60.5%
60.5%
39.5%
Roy
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
11
(15 meetings)
4
11
Roy
Gourde
Last 10: Roy 3-7 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Roy
Gourde
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
1
3
Roy
Gourde
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
1
6
Roy
Gourde
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (617)
48.0% (914)
-0.5%
Power Play
39.6% (53)
54.2% (48)
-14.6%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (97)
43.9% (123)
+2.5%
On power play, Gourde has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Roy is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (593).
Roy shoots right. Gourde is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (321).
Home / Away
Roy
Gourde
Home
47.2% (398)
50.2% (512)
Away
46.3% (369)
45.7% (573)
By Period
Roy
Gourde
P1
48.6%
50.0%
P2
48.8%
45.3%
P3
43.9%
48.6%
OT
0.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
45.1%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.8%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2024 | 3 | 18:11 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 3 | 08:12 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 2 | 08:37 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 3 | 17:23 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 3 | 13:43 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 3 | 01:55 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 2 | 05:37 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 1, 2024 | 3 | 13:54 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 10, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 10, 2023 | 2 | 06:32 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 10, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 10, 2023 | 1 | 00:12 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 10, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |