Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Roy wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 48.3% vs Gourde 49.7% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gourde 61.4%
Defensive zone
Roy 71.5%
Neutral zone
Roy 56.6%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 61.2%
61.2%
38.8%
Roy
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Roy
Gourde
Last 9: Roy 4-5 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Roy
Gourde
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Roy
Gourde
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Roy
Gourde
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (633)
49.1% (847)
-0.8%
Power Play
52.1% (48)
79.5% (44)
-27.4%
Penalty Kill
43.7% (87)
39.5% (81)
+4.2%
On power play, Gourde has a +27.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Roy is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (550).
Roy shoots right. Gourde is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (321).
Home / Away
Roy
Gourde
Home
50.8% (376)
50.1% (491)
Away
45.4% (392)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Roy
Gourde
P1
53.8%
54.7%
P2
43.5%
45.0%
P3
46.4%
49.4%
OT
75.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.2%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.0%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 17:16 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 1 | 03:18 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 3 | 03:23 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 1 | 10:00 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 19:28 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 19:21 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |