Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +13.9% FO% edge overall. Cizikas wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 53.0% vs Cates 40.4% (+13.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 79.1%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 94.6%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 90.5%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 87.6%
87.6%
12.4%
Cizikas
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Cizikas
Cates
Last 5: Cizikas 4-1 Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cizikas
Cates
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
2
0
Cizikas
Cates
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Cates
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (757)
40.4% (841)
+16.0%
Power Play
41.2% (17)
42.4% (66)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (165)
32.7% (147)
+7.9%
On even strength, Cizikas has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Cizikas is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Cizikas shoots left. Cates is 39.3% vs left-shot opponents (749).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Cates
Home
55.0% (473)
38.2% (566)
Away
51.7% (466)
41.0% (488)
By Period
Cizikas
Cates
P1
54.9%
40.5%
P2
50.8%
42.4%
P3
54.5%
35.3%
OT
50.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
55.2%
36.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
53.4%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
39.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2023 | 1 | 14:02 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 3 | 19:26 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 1 | 00:07 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 1 | 05:47 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 1 | 03:12 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |