Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Cates wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cates 45.8% vs Zacha 54.4% (-10.3%)
Offensive zone
Zacha 71.1%
Defensive zone
Cates 57.8%
Neutral zone
Cates 51.6%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 53.9%
46.1%
53.9%
Cates
Zacha
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cates
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
44.3% (271)
53.9% (787)
-9.6%
Power Play
77.8% (18)
63.2% (193)
+14.6%
Penalty Kill
31.7% (41)
44.3% (88)
-12.6%
On power play, Cates has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Cates is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (224).
Cates shoots left. Zacha is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Cates
Zacha
Home
52.0% (148)
56.7% (538)
Away
38.5% (182)
52.8% (530)
By Period
Cates
Zacha
P1
42.7%
52.6%
P2
42.9%
54.8%
P3
48.5%
56.8%
Final 5 min
44.0%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.5%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
54.8%