Scouting Report
Pierre-Luc Dubois holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Dubois on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Cates wins 39.3% vs left-shot opponents — Dubois shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cates 40.4% vs Dubois 49.0% (-9.4%)
H2H factor
Dubois leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Cates 61.7%
Defensive zone
Cates 89.3%
Neutral zone
Cates 70.8%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 75.5%
75.5%
24.5%
Cates
Dubois
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
9
(12 meetings)
3
9
Cates
Dubois
Last 10: Cates 2-8 Dubois
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dubois
0
2
Cates
Dubois
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dubois
1
3
Cates
Dubois
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dubois
2
4
Cates
Dubois
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cates
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
40.4% (841)
48.7% (809)
-8.3%
Power Play
42.4% (66)
50.9% (163)
-8.5%
Penalty Kill
32.7% (147)
37.5% (16)
-4.8%
On power play, Dubois has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubois shoots left. Cates is 39.3% vs left-shot opponents (749).
Cates shoots left. Dubois is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (612).
Home / Away
Cates
Dubois
Home
38.2% (566)
50.5% (497)
Away
41.0% (488)
47.3% (491)
By Period
Cates
Dubois
P1
40.5%
49.0%
P2
42.4%
48.2%
P3
35.3%
49.1%
OT
42.9%
71.4%
Final 5 min
36.8%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
39.5%
Dubois
44.0%▼
51.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 15:07 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 1 | 19:42 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 1 | 16:54 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 1 | 00:19 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 1 | 00:12 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 3 | 02:49 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 3 | 02:35 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 1 | 18:39 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 1 | 14:58 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 1 | 14:52 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 1 | 08:31 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |